Pollster John Zogby has perhaps best characterized the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination.
He was quoted last week as saying, "This is an unbelievably close race at almost every level."
Nevertheless, the victory (51% to 45%) of New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton over Illinois Senator Barack Obama in this past weekend's Nevada caucuses re-establishes her as the front runner.
Obama is now dependent upon an impressive victory in this coming Saturday's South Carolina primary which he is expected to win. Ironically, however, an African American candidate who has spent most of the presidential race distancing himself from so-called Black issues must now rely on a massive turnout by Black voters in the Palmetto state to keep the race close.
Obama must not only win in South Carolina, he must win impressively. Blacks are expected to make up roughly half of the people voting in the primary and the latest poll shows Obama leading among Blacks by over 70 percent.
John Edwards, who was born in South Carolina, is expected to pull enough of the white vote from Clinton to guarantee Obama the victory.
If that happens, it will be the round of primaries on February 5th which determines who wins the Democratic presidential nomination. There will be at least 21 states holding primaries on "Super Tuesday."
No comments:
Post a Comment